Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.28.07

Imarex
TD3: WS70 ( -4 ) - VLCC - Ras Tanura (Saudi Arabia) to Chiba (Japan), 260,000mt
TC2: WS187.0 ( -3 ) - MR2 - Rotterdam to New York (USAC)

SHX: 321.75 ( -11.94/-3.58% ) - PHLX Marine Shipping Index

Baltic Dirty Tanker Index: 829 ( -0.48%)
lowest since August 2003


OTII rates (Aug. 28th) [next available:
AG-Singapore - - - - - -260k - - - - WS67.50
Indonesia-Japan - - - - 80k - - - - - WS110.00
AG-USG - - - - - - - - - 280k - - - - WS52.50
WAF - USG - - - - - - - 260k - - - - WS57.50
WAF - USAC - - - - - - 130k - - - - -WS77.50

Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.28.07
Imarex, PHLX, SHX, WS, Worldscale, Baltic Dirty Tanker Index, BDTI, chart, graph





Persian Gulf Oil-Tanker Rates May Extend Drop

Persian Gulf Oil-Tanker Rates May Extend Drop as Demand Stalls
By Alaric Nightingale
Aug. 29 (Bloomberg)


The cost of shipping Middle East crude oil to Asia, the biggest market for supertankers, may fall for a second consecutive day as demand stalls amid a glut of vessels.

Refineries currently have no cargoes they are trying to secure tankers for, Nikos Varvaropoulos, a broker for Athens- based Optima Shipbrokers, said in an e-mailed note today. Vessel supply for September is about double the month's demand, according to data today from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles.

Sinochem Corp., China's biggest petrochemicals trader, hired the tanker New Vision at a rate of as much as 72 Worldscale points, according to a report today from Barry Rogliano. That's about 9.5 percent above the London-based Baltic Exchange's benchmark rate of 65.78 points for voyages to Asia yesterday.

New Vision costs more to rent than the benchmark because it has two steel hulls separating its cargo from the ocean to cut the risk of an oil spill. The exchange's assessment also takes into account older, single-hull ships.

$34,989 a Day

At 65.78 Worldscale points, owners of double-hulled very large crude carriers, or VLCCs, can earn about $34,989 a day on a 38-day round trip from Saudi Arabia to South Korea, based on a formula by R.S. Platou, an Oslo-based shipbroker, and Bloomberg bunker prices. Frontline said Aug. 22 it needs $30,000 a day to break even on each of its supertankers.

There are 55 tankers booked to ship oil from the Middle East next month, about half the monthly average, according to Barry Rogliano. About 100 tankers can reach Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates by Sept. 25, according to the broker.



Persian Gulf Tanker Rates May Fall as Demand Slows, OPEC Stalls
By Alaric Nightingale
Aug. 28 (Bloomberg)


The cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia, the world's busiest market for supertankers, may fall in the wake of yesterday's U.K. national holiday and as OPEC fails to boost production.

The market ``doesn't look good'' today because more than half the September shipments have been arranged and booking levels are ``usually'' slow at this time, Per Mansson, a tanker broker at Nor Ocean Stockholm AB, said in an e-mailed note.

Members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, supplier of about 40 percent of the world's crude, have yet to boost supplies as the northern hemisphere's summer comes to an end, according to Mansson and Nikos Varvaropoulos, a broker with Optima Shipbrokers in Athens. Shipping lines including Frontline Ltd., the world's largest operator of supertankers, are counting on OPEC to increase shipments in the fourth quarter, stoking demand for tankers.

No bookings of very large crude carriers, or VLCCs, from the Middle East were reported today or yesterday by shipbrokers. The benchmark hire rate climbed 31 percent to 65.94 Worldscale points last week, according to data from the London-based Baltic Exchange, the biggest five-day gain since May.

The crude market is ``well supplied,'' OPEC Secretary- General Abdalla El-Badri, said yesterday, prompting speculation the group won't raise output targets when it meets next month.

Monday, August 27, 2007

Persian Gulf Oil-Tanker Rates May Drop

Persian Gulf Oil-Tanker Rates May Drop as Vessel Demand Wanes
By Alaric Nightingale
Aug. 24 (Bloomberg)


The cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia, the world's busiest market for supertankers, may drop, paring this week's 31 percent gain, as vessel demand from refineries wanes.

Demand is ``quiet'' and there are ``plenty'' of tankers for hire, Nikos Varvaropoulos, an Athens-based tanker broker for Optima Shipbrokers, said in an e-mailed note today.

Tianbao, a Chinese oil trader, hired the carrier Asian Progress II at a rate of 70 Worldscale points, according to a report today from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles. That's 6.6 percent more than the London-based Baltic Exchange's assessment of 65.67 points for shipments to Asia.

Asian Progress II is fitted with two layers of steel separating its cargo from the ocean, cutting the risk of an oil spill in the event of a collision. The exchange's assessment also takes into account single-hull tankers that cost less to hire. The benchmark has climbed 31 percent since Aug. 17.

More Than Enough

There are more than enough tankers available for hire, according to Barry Rogliano Salles. A hundred vessels can reach the Middle East by Sept. 24, with about 55 more cargoes likely to be loaded in the month, based on average monthly demand, the broker said.

Thursday, August 23, 2007

Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.23.07

VLCC rates rise sharply

Imarex
TD3: WS75 (+5) - VLCC - Ras Tanura (Saudi Arabia) to Chiba (Japan), 260,000mt
TC2: WS201.0 ( -11.5 ) - MR2 - Rotterdam to New York (USAC)

SHX: 327.45 ( -2.98/-0.90% ) - PHLX Marine Shipping Index

Baltic Dirty Tanker Index: 830 (+1.59%)
lowest since August 2003


OTII rates (Aug. 23rd)
AG-Singapore - - - - - -260k - - - - WS70.00
Indonesia-Japan - - - - 80k - - - - - WS112.50
AG-USG - - - - - - - - - 280k - - - - WS50.00
WAF - USG - - - - - - - 260k - - - - WS55.00
WAF - USAC - - - - - - 130k - - - - -WS75.00

Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.23.07
Imarex, PHLX, SHX, WS, Worldscale, Baltic Dirty Tanker Index, BDTI, chart, graph





Persian Gulf Tanker Rates Rise Most in 20 Months

Persian Gulf Tanker Rates Rise Most in 20 Months; Demand Jumps
By Alaric Nightingale
Aug. 23 (Bloomberg)


The cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia, the world's busiest market for supertankers, climbed the most in 20 months and may extend its rally as cargo demand strengthens.

September demand is outpacing that of August ``by a long way,'' Tim Coffin, an analyst at London-based Capital Shipbrokers LP, said in an e-mailed note today. Tanker-hire prices are ``firming fast,'' he said, ``we didn't expect it.''

Some cargo loadings may have been delayed from August to September, he said, reducing tanker demand.

Sinochem Corp., China's biggest petrochemicals trader, hired the tanker Iran Nesa at a rate of 72.5 Worldscale points, according to a report from Oslo-based PF Bassoe AS today. That's 16 percent above the London-based Baltic Exchange's benchmark rate of 62.7 points for cargoes to Asia.

The exchange's rate climbed 20 percent yesterday, the biggest one-day gain since Jan. 22 last year.

At 62.7 Worldscale points, owners of double-hulled VLCCs can earn about $33,030 a day on a 38-day round trip from Saudi Arabia to South Korea, based on a formula by R.S. Platou, an Oslo-based shipbroker, and Bloomberg bunker prices. Yesterday, they were making $19,881 a day, based on the same calculations.

Frontline Ltd., the world's biggest VLCC operator, said today it needs $30,000 a day to break even on each of the supertankers.

Too Many Ships

Still, there are too many ships for hire, according to a report from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles today. There are likely to be about 70 more cargoes loaded in September, based on average monthly demand. By contrast, 100 vessels can reach the Middle East by Sept. 23, the broker said.

Bookings for supertankers sailing from the Middle East to Asia account for 47 percent of global demand for the carriers, according to New York-based McQuilling Brokerage Partners LLP. Shipments to the U.S. and Caribbean, the second-biggest market, account for 14 percent of demand for supertankers.

TUI Shares Rise for Second Day

TUI Shares Rise for Second Day on Breakup Speculation
By Meera Bhatia
Aug. 23 (Bloomberg)


TUI AG, Europe's largest travel company and the owner of the Hapag-Lloyd shipping line, climbed for a second day in Frankfurt trading on speculation the company's shipping and tourism units may be split.

TUI shares rose 25 cents, or 1.4 percent, to 18.39 euros, after gaining 5.2 percent yesterday. The two-day gain of 6.6 percent was the steepest since March 20.

``The rumors are the possible split up of the company,'' said Thomas Nagel, a trader at Equinet AG in Frankfurt. ``The possibility could be into shipping and tourism.''

TUI gets more than two-thirds of revenue from tourism and the rest from shipping, where sales declined in the first two quarters of this year. The stock has risen 7.2 percent since shipping billionaire John Fredriksen's Geveran Trading Co. Ltd., based in Limassol, Cyprus, said in an Aug. 21 filing it held 7.72 million TUI voting shares, or a 3.1 percent stake.

TUI has ``had talks with Geveran and representatives of the company,'' spokesman Kuzey Esener said today by phone. ``We've had talks with them in recent months, as with any other investor.''

Esener said Geveran had given ``no indication'' that it intends to seek a breakup of the company. Asked whether the investor plans to raise its stake, he declined to comment.

Shipping Rates

Fredriksen has used acquisitions and mergers to build the oil-tanker company Frontline Ltd. and the salmon farmer Marine Harvest ASA into the world's biggest in their industries. He also leads Golden Ocean Group Ltd., a commodities-shipping line.

The billionaire, who has been at the forefront of industry consolidation within the markets he enters, bought control of Frontline, then a Stockholm-listed company, in 1996. A series of takeovers -- London Overseas Freighters in 1997, ICB in 1999 and Golden Ocean in 2000 -- made it the world's largest tanker company.

Tor Olav Troim, a director at several companies controlled by Fredriksen, declined to comment on whether Geveran plans to increase the stake, saying only ``we like the company.''

``Geveran or other players could buy more in TUI and split up the company,'' Nagel said.

Shares of TUI have gained 21 percent this year, helped by speculation that Germany's billionaire Oetker and Herz families may consider buying Hapag-Lloyd. TUI has no plans to sell the shipping business, Handelsblatt reported May 15, citing Chief Executive Officer Michael Frenzel. Frenzel rejected speculation that the Oetker family may buy a stake in TUI.

``I hear rumors about a possible break up of the company every two to three months,'' said Oliver Caspari, an analyst at Bankhaus Lampe in Dusseldorf with a ``hold'' rating on TUI.

Geveran's stake may be fueling the stock's gains, he added. ``I have also heard that container shipping rates are going up which is good for TUI and Hapag-Lloyd.''

Ship Finance (SFL) Reports Q2 2007 Results

SFL Reports Second Quarter 2007 Results
Ship Finance International Limited 8/23/2007
URL: http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=49369


Ship Finance International reports the financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2007.

Highlights:

Ship Finance International Reported net income for the quarter of $39.5 million or $0.54 per share, including profit share of $15.7 million or $0.22 per share and declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.55 per share. All five container vessels chartered to Horizon Lines, Inc. have commenced their long-term charters with full cash flow and earnings effect from the third quarter.

The Company's second jack-up drilling rig West Prospero was delivered from the shipyard and commenced its 15-year charter to Seadrill Limited at the end of the quarter.

The single hull VLCC Front Vanadis was sold on hire/purchase terms, and a gain of $4.3 million was recorded in the quarter.

Five newbuilding container vessels were ordered in China for delivery in 2010 at an aggregate price of approximately $190 million.

Acquisition of a 2003 built 1,700 TEU container vessel scheduled to be delivered in August 2007.

Acquisition of five new offshore supply vessels from Deep Sea Supply Plc. in combination with 12-year charters. Scheduled delivery in late August 2007.

Amendment of profit share agreement with Frontline Ltd. Profit share will be earned on a quarterly basis, starting the second quarter 2007.

Dividends and Results for the Quarter ended June 30, 2007

The Board of Directors has declared a cash dividend for the second quarter of $0.55 per share. The dividend will be paid on or about September 13, 2007 to shareholders of record as of August 31, 2007.

The ex-dividend date will be August 29, 2007.

The Company reported total operating revenues of $96.6 million or $1.33 per share in the second quarter. This includes $15.7 million or $0.22 per share of profit share from Frontline Ltd. ("Frontline"). Net operating income for the quarter was $70.5 million or $0.97 per share and net income was $39.5 million or $0.54 per share.

As the majority of the Company's assets are accounted for as finance leases, a significant portion of the charter hire received does not appear in the Income Statement. These amounts are classified as 'repayment of investment in finance leases', and are only included in the Statement of Cashflows. For the second quarter, this amounted to $46.2 million or $0.64 per share.

Net cash provided by operating activities in the second quarter was $29.0 million, net cash used in investing activities was $201.9 million and net cash provided by financing activities was $125.7 million.

Wednesday, August 22, 2007

Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.22.07

VLCC rates rise sharply

Imarex
TD3: WS70 (+6) - VLCC - Ras Tanura (Saudi Arabia) to Chiba (Japan), 260,000mt
TC2: WS212.5 (0) - MR2 - Rotterdam to New York (USAC)


Baltic Dirty Tanker Index: 817 (+1.24%)
lowest since August 2003


OTII rates
AG-Singapore - - - - - -260k - - - - WS70.00(+10)
Indonesia-Japan - - - - 80k - - - - - WS115.00
AG-USG - - - - - - - - - 280k - - - - WS50.00(+2.5)
WAF - USG - - - - - - - 260k - - - - WS70.00(+10)
WAF - USAC - - - - - - 130k - - - - -WS72.50

Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.22.07
Imarex, PHLX, SHX, WS, Worldscale, Baltic Dirty Tanker Index, BDTI, chart, graph





Frontline (FRO) Q2 Profit Doubles

Frontline Profit More Than Doubles on Spinoffs, Sales
By Alaric Nightingale

Aug. 22 (Bloomberg)

Frontline Ltd., the world's biggest operator of supertankers, said second-quarter profit more than doubled as it increased charges for hiring out ships and spun off two companies.

Net income rose to $189 million, or $2.53 a share, from $68.6 million, or 92 cents a share, a year earlier, Hamilton, Bermuda-based Frontline said in a statement to the Oslo stock exchange today. Profit will be ``considerably weaker'' in the current quarter because of declining demand, it said.

``They are less optimistic about the future than they have been previously,'' said Anders Rosenlund, an Oslo-based analyst at ABG Sundal Collier ASA who recommends that investors sell the shares. Ship-hire rates were ``a bit better than people were expecting,'' he said.

Profit was boosted by $109.8 million from share and vessel sales. Frontline's biggest tankers earned 2.5 percent more in the quarter than a year earlier while income from smaller carriers rose by a quarter. Vessels leased out in the day-to- day, or spot, market may be operating at a loss as two production cuts by OPEC since November crimp cargo demand.

Frontline's shares climbed 7 kroner, or 2.8 percent, to 257.50 kroner as of 11:16 a.m. in Oslo, valuing the company at 19.3 billion kroner ($3.2 billion).

Frontline, led by Norwegian billionaire John Fredriksen, said it expects the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to boost crude supply ``in the near future.''

The company needs $30,000 a day to break even on each of its very large crude carriers, or VLCCs, and $22,100 on its 1 million-barrel carriers, called suezmaxes. Currently, VLCCs are paying about $22,000 a day and suezmaxes $13,500, based on a formula by Oslo-based shipbrokers RS Platou A/S, benchmark ship- hire rates and marine-fuel prices compiled by Bloomberg.

$51,900 a Day

The company's VLCCs made $51,900 a day in the second quarter, compared with $50,600 a year earlier. Its Suezmax tankers made $38,600, compared with $30,600. Daily rental income from so-called oil-bulk-ore carriers, which are able to carry oil or commodities, earned $38,300, an increase of 27 percent.

The spinoff of Sea Production Ltd., a company that will operate storage and production vessels, boosted profit by $31.2 million, the company said. The merger of SeaLift Ltd., which was spun off in the first quarter, with Dockwise Transport NV contributed $43.7 million.

Frontline Ltd Raised to `Strong Buy'

Frontline Ltd Raised to `Strong Buy' at S&P :FRO NO
London, Aug. 22 (Bloomberg Data)


Frontline Ltd (FRO NO) was raised to ``strong buy'' from ``hold'' by analyst Finn Bjarke Petersen at Standard & Poor's. The price target is 300.00 kroner per share.

Frontline (FRO) earnings increase in Q2

Second Quarter and Six Months Results 2007

The Board of Frontline Ltd. (the ``Company'' or ``Frontline'') announces net income of $189.1 million for the second quarter of 2007, equivalent to earnings per share of $2.53. Operating income for the quarter was $190.9 million, including a gain on sale of assets of $66.1 million. This gain consists of $31.2 million relating to the sale of the shares in Sea Production Ltd. (``Sea Production''), $21.8 million to the delivery of the first converted heavy lift vessel and $13.1 million relating to the termination of the capital lease for Front Vanadis. Operating income was $178.6 million in the first quarter which then included a gain on sale of assets of $21.3 million. Net income also includes a gain on the issuance of shares in Sealift in connection with the business combination with Dockwise of $43.7 million in the second quarter. Net income in the first quarter included a gain on the issuance of shares in Sea Production of $39.8 million.

The reported earnings reflect a somewhat improved market partly offset by a reduction is trading days in the second quarter compared to the first quarter. The average daily time charter equivalents (``TCEs'') earned in the spot and period market by the Company's VLCCs, Suezmax tankers and Suezmax OBO carriers were $51,900, $38,600 and $38,300, respectively compared with $50,200, $34,900 and $36,600, respectively in the first quarter. The results show a continued differential in earnings between single and double hull tonnage. The spot earnings for the Company's double hull VLCC and Suezmax vessels were $57,700 and $50,500, in the second quarter, compared to $56,600 and $48,100, in the first quarter.

In the second quarter of 2007 Frontline is no longer consolidating Ship Finance International Limited (``Ship Finance''). As a consequence the earnings reflect a decrease in revenues compared to the first quarter of 2007 related to the vessels in Ship Finance which are not chartered in by Frontline. Profit share expense of $15.7 million has been recorded in the second quarter as a result of the profit sharing agreement with Ship Finance. In the first quarter of 2007 the profit share expense was eliminated on consolidation of Ship Finance in the income statement, and the profit share expense was booked directly to equity as part of the spin off of Ship Finance.

Charterhire expenses have increased by $5.8 million in the second quarter as a consequence of more vessels chartered in compared to the first quarter. Ship operating expenses have increased by $4.6 million in the second quarter compared to the first quarter due to more drydocking costs expensed in the second quarter.

Administrative expenses have decreased by $3.3 million compared to the first quarter. Administrative expenses in the first quarter included non-recurring items of $1.6 million for Ship Finance and $1.9 million for the Company's FPSO activities.

Interest income was $15.7 million in the second quarter, of which $8.3 million relates to restricted deposits held by subsidiaries reported in Independent Tankers Corporation (``ITC''). Interest expense was $63.9 million in the second quarter of which $16.9 million relates to ITC and $47.9 million relates to the capital lease interest expense in Frontline.

Other financial items in the second quarter were a gain of $0.7 million compared to a gain of $5.1 million in the first quarter. Frontline has no valuation losses or gains in interest rate swaps and bond swaps in the second quarter compared to valuation losses of $2.5 million in interest rate swaps along with valuation gains of $6.1 million in bond swaps recorded in the first quarter. All interest rate and bond swaps related to Ship Finance.

Frontline announces net income of $347.9 million for the six months ended June 30, 2007, equivalent to earnings per share of $4.65. The average TCEs earned in the spot and period market by the Company's VLCCs, Suezmax tankers, and Suezmax OBO carriers for the six months period ended June 30, 2007 were $51,000, $36,700 and $37,500, respectively.

As of June 30, 2007, the Company had total cash and cash equivalents of $861.0 million which includes $651.4 million of restricted cash. Restricted cash includes $416.6 million relating to deposits in ITC and $232.0 million in Frontline Shipping Limited and Frontline Shipping II Limited which are restricted under the charter agreements with Ship Finance.

The 2006 financial statements have been restated to reflect the revised accounting treatment for three entities within the ITC group which were previously fully consolidated but are now being accounted for as investments under the equity method. The restatement has no effect on net income.

As of August 2007, the Company has average cash breakeven rates on a TCE basis for VLCCs and Suezmaxes of approximately $30,000 and $22,100, respectively.

The full report is available in the link below.


http://hugin.info/182/R/1148282/219291.pdf

Fredriksen Rumored Behind TUI Gain

German Stocks Advance, Led by MAN, Daimler, Siemens; TUI Jumps
By Andreas Hippin
Aug. 22 (Bloomberg)


German stocks advanced on speculation the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to prevent a credit crunch from curbing economic growth.

``That the Fed will cut interest rates is almost common sense in the market,'' said Wolfgang Matejka, who oversees $3.3 billion as chief investment officer at Vienna-based Meinl Bank AG. ``We've seen most of the correction already. There's no reason for more panic selling.''

DaimlerChrysler AG, MAN AG and Siemens AG led advances by companies more sensitive to economic swings. TUI AG gained after the Financial Times reported Norwegian billionaire John Fredriksen was behind Geveran Trading Co. Ltd, which raised its stake in Europe's largest travel company.

The benchmark DAX Index rose 61.29, or 0.8 percent, to 7,486.04 at 2:00 p.m. in Frankfurt. DAX futures expiring in September climbed 72, or 1 percent, to 7,512. The HDAX Index of the country's 110 biggest companies added 1.1 percent.

TUI rallied 93 cents, or 5.4 percent, to 18.18 euros. Fredriksen, chief executive officer of Frontline Ltd., the world's largest tanker group, wants to force a break up of TUI and buy its shipping assets, the FT said in the Alphaville section of its online edition.

At Frontline, nobody was immediately available for a statement. Limassol, Cyprus-based Geveran told the company that it crossed the threshold of 3 percent of the voting rights on Aug. 10, TUI said yesterday.

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Freight Rates and Seasonality

From McQuilling Services report - August 15th, 2007:
Freight Rates and Seasonality


click on images for larger view

http://www.mcquilling.com/pdfs.asp?ID=Freight%20Rates
click on link for PDF of full report



Monday, August 20, 2007

VLCC at Ras Tanura









yellow line is 325 meters






Earnings Releases Second Quarter 2007

Earnings Releases Second Quarter 2007 2Q

Arlington (ATB) - - - - - July 24th - - - - (positive)

Overseas (OSG)- - - - - July 25th - - - - (positive)

General Marine (GMR) - - July 31st - - -(net income falls 55%)

Teekay (TK) - - - - - - - August 1st - - ( positive )

Tsakos (TNP) - - - - - - August 3rd - - - ( positive )

Top Tankers (TOPT) - - August 3rd - - - ( positive )

Nordic American (NAT) - - August 9th - - ( positive )

Knightsbridge (VLCCF) - - August 13th - (net income falls 9%)


Frontline (FRO) - - - - - Wednesday,August 22nd, confirmed

Ship Finance(SFL) - - - - Wednesday, August 22nd, confirmed

Double Hull (DHT) - - - - Thursday, August 23rd, unconfirmed



(updated Aug 18th)

Saturday, August 18, 2007

VLCC in Suez Canal

Satellite photo of VLCC in Suez Canal
30°13'21"
32°33'10"
340 meters by 55 meters


Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.17.07

Imarex
TD3: WS54 (0) - VLCC - Ras Tanura (Saudi Arabia) to Chiba (Japan), 260,000mt
TC2: WS189 (-2) - MR2 - Rotterdam to New York (USAC)

SHX: 304.77 (+9.82/+3.33%) - PHLX Marine Shipping Index

Baltic Dirty Tanker Index: 817 (-0.24%)
lowest since August 2003

BDTI - 3 month chart

OTII rates (test)
AG-Singapore - - - - - -260k - - - - WS55.00
Indonesia-Japan - - - - 80k - - - - - WS117.50
AG-USG - - - - - - - - - 280k - - - - WS45.00
WAF - USG - - - - - - - 260k - - - - WS55.00
WAF - USAC - - - - - - 130k - - - - -WS77.50

Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.17.07
Imarex, PHLX, SHX, WS, Worldscale, Baltic Dirty Tanker Index, BDTI, chart, graph




Persian Gulf Oil-Tanker Rates May Rise

Persian Gulf Oil-Tanker Rates May Rise on Weather, OPEC Cargoes
By Alaric Nightingale
Aug. 17 (Bloomberg)


The cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia, the world's busiest market for supertankers, may rise today as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries pumps more oil and two storms threaten to disrupt shipping.

OPEC, supplier of 40 percent of the world's crude, has increased shipments by 1 million barrels a day since July ``without saying anything,'' Jennifer Gordon, a New York-based trading analyst at Deutsche Bank Securities said in an e-mailed note yesterday. A supertyphoon approaching Taiwan and a hurricane off the Lesser Antilles in the Caribbean may delay vessels.

``Weather is always a factor for market movement,'' Nikos Varvaropoulos, a tanker broker for Athens-based Optima Shipbrokers, said in an e-mailed note today.

The benchmark rental rate for shipments to Asia, used to settle freight contracts between owners and oil companies, climbed 1.2 percent to 50.44 Worldscale points yesterday, its biggest one-day gain in six weeks. The rate was previously at its lowest since October 2003.

At 50.44 Worldscale points, owners of double-hulled VLCCs can earn about $19,191 a day on a 38-day round trip from Saudi Arabia to South Korea, based on a formula by R.S. Platou, an Oslo-based shipbroker, and Bloomberg bunker prices.

Frontline Ltd., the world's biggest VLCC operator, said May 30 it needs $29,500 a day to break even on each of its supertankers.

Bookings for supertankers sailing from the Middle East to Asia account for 47 percent of global demand for the carriers, according to New York-based McQuilling Brokerage Partners LLP. Shipments to the U.S. and Caribbean, the second-biggest market, account for 14 percent of demand for supertankers.

China, Kazakhstan to Build Pipelines

China, Kazakhstan to Build Pipelines From Caspian Sea
By Henry Meyer
Aug. 18 (Bloomberg)


The leaders of China and Kazakhstan agreed to finance and build a network of pipelines to supply the world's fastest-growing major economy with oil and gas from the Caspian Sea region.

``The Caspian will be linked to western China,'' Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev told reporters in the capital Astana today after meeting with his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao. ``These are major projects and today we reached agreement on these issues.''

Kazakhstan's Atasu-Alashankou oil route will be extended and a gas link from Turkmenistan to China through Kazakhstan will be built, Nazarbayev said. The gas link will bypass Afghanistan, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, landlocked countries between Turkmenistan's Caspian shore and China.

China, the world's second-largest energy user, is scouring the globe in search of energy supplies for its economy, which is expanding at an annual rate of 11.9 percent, the fastest pace in more than a dozen years. Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan are the biggest energy suppliers in the former Soviet Union after Russia. The Caspian region they share with Azerbaijan, Iran and Russia holds about 4 percent of the world's proven oil and gas reserves.

The gas pipeline will be able to move 30 billion cubic meters of fuel a year and cost as much as $4 billion to build, Energy Minister Baktykozha Izmukhambetov said in November.

Chinese Investment

The 750-kilometer (1,200-mile) extension of the Atasu- Alashankou oil pipeline will connect China with two oil fields, Kenkiyak and Kumkol, owned and operated by Kazakh units of state- run China National Petroleum Corp. The pipeline will have a capacity of 400,000 barrels a day, or about 5 percent of China's consumption.

China National Petroleum Corp., the biggest Chinese oil producer, said yesterday it will expand oil and gas co-operation with Kazakhstan after spending more than $6.5 billion so far on oil exploration, refining and pipelines in the country.

Nazarbayev, 67, met the Chinese leader as Kazakhstan held parliamentary elections that are expected to cement his 18-year rule. Hu praised Nazarbayev for his ``democratization'' of the former Soviet republic.

Friday, August 17, 2007

OPEC Oil Exports increase 260,000 bpd

OPEC Oil Exports in 4 Wks to Sep 1 Seen +260,000 B/D
by Spencer Swartz
Aug 16, 2007


LONDON - Seaborne OPEC oil shipments are expected to jump by 260,000 barrels a day in the four weeks to Sept. 1 from the previous one-month period, with nearly all of those exports headed to the U.S. and Europe, U.K. tanker tracker Oil Movements said Thursday.

The rise, the second in as many weeks, comes as some Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries push more barrels into the market to informally respond to increasing calls for the group to raise production, said Roy Mason, head of the consultancy.

"I think perhaps the Saudis are starting to move some oil west on the expectation that more oil will be needed," Mason said, although he cautioned that he didn't expect OPEC shipments to continue ramping up in the weeks ahead.

"We're at the end of the season as far as long haul sailings go" because of the end of summer and on the onset of autumn when energy demand tails off, Mason said.

OPEC shipments are seen rising to a total of 24.08 million barrels a day versus 23.82 million barrels a day in the four weeks to Aug. 4, he said.

Mason also revised down last week's data, with OPEC shipments now seen as having risen by a net 230,000 barrels a day in the four weeks to Aug. 25 versus the previous one-month period from an original expectation for a net rise of 360,000 barrels a day.

Sailings from key OPEC Middle East countries are forecast to increase by 330,000 barrels a day to 17.19 million barrels a day in the four weeks to Sept. 1 relative to the previous one-month period.

OPEC is currently producing between 700,000 to 800,000 barrels a day less than at this time last year, Mason said. A few weeks ago, OPEC had even more barrels out of the market year-on-year - about 1.2 million barrels a day year-on-year, Mason said.

OPEC is scheduled to meet in Vienna on Sept. 11 and indications from some OPEC ministers and officials are that the 12-nation producer group is likely to keep its production targets unchanged and not increase output, as the International Energy Agency and other outfits have been urging.

Oil Movements forecasts OPEC exports based on spot and term chartering of crude from OPEC member countries. Production from OPEC's 12 members meets around 40% of the 86 million barrels a day consumed globally.

Thursday, August 16, 2007

Oil-Shipping Rates Fall

Oil-Shipping Rates Fall, Dry-Bulk Rises on Demand
By Todd Zeranski and Katherine Espina
Aug. 16 (Bloomberg)


Shipping rates for oil are plunging as turmoil in credit markets threatens growth, while the cost to haul bulk commodities such as coal and grain rises to a record because of increased demand in China and India.

Concern that falling stock prices may cause economic expansion to slow, reducing fuel demand, caused crude oil to fall more than $2 a barrel today. U.S. oil prices have dropped 11 percent since reaching a record $78.77 on Aug. 1.

This worry, coupled with a traditionally slow summer tanker season, has had an effect on spot oil-tanker rates. The cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia has fallen by half since March, and rates in the Caribbean, where ships from Colombia, Venezuela and Mexico ferry oil to U.S. refineries, have fallen 41 percent since July 23.

``Dry bulk is on fire,'' Omar Nokta, a managing director at Dahlman Rose & Co. in New York, said in an interview. ``If you put a dry-bulk tanker away (on contract) for three years, you get 20 percent returns. For crude, its 12 percent.''

Rising raw material consumption led by China and India and port bottlenecks in countries including Australia and Brazil, have been pushing the overall Baltic Dry Index to records since Aug. 10. The line of ships waiting to load cargoes in Australia's Newcastle, the world's biggest export harbor for coal, rose to 55 on Aug. 13 from 51 a week earlier, Newcastle Port Corp. said.

Shipping Costs

The Baltic Dry Index, an overall measure of commodity- shipping costs on different routes and ship sizes, added 1.2 percent to a record 7,319 today, according to the Baltic Exchange.

The index has risen 66 percent this year. The rate of hiring capesize ships, the largest type of bulk carriers, rose to a record with gains trickling down to smaller vessels.

``The previous 2008 assessment for capsizes was for an average of $82,000, and now that's changed to $98,000,'' Nokta said. ``At the same time all these dry bulk stocks are down. It's running contrary to what is happening.''

The Baltic Capesize Index, a measure of rates for that class of vessel on different routes around the world, advanced 1.8 percent to a high of 10,010 today, according to the London- based Baltic Exchange. The rate to hire a capesize carrier, which typically hauls 175,000 tons of goods, increased $2,637, or 2.3 percent, to a record $118,425 a day on average, data from the Baltic Exchange showed.

The Baltic Supramax Index, made up of five time-charter routes for that type of vessel, which can haul between 50,000 tons and 59,999 tons of goods, gained 0.3 percent to 4,801. It's been setting records since July 13.

Handysize Rates

The Baltic Handysize Index, which tracks rates on six routes for that type of ship, gained 0.4 percent to a record 2,468 today, according to the Baltic Exchange. It's been closing at daily highs since July 18.

Shares of Diana Shipping Inc. shares have fallen 26 percent this month. Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd. shares have fallen 18 percent, while Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. shares have fallen 14 percent and DryShips Inc. shares down 13 percent.

Asia Rates Fall to Lowest in 5 Months

Asia Aframax Tanker Rates Fall to Lowest in Almost Five Months
By Katherine Espina
Aug. 16 (Bloomberg)


The rate for tankers that can carry 80,000 metric tons of fuel or crude oil fell to the lowest in almost five months and may extend the decline until charterers book to transport September cargoes.

The rate for Aframax tankers on the Kuwait-to-Singapore route dropped 1.4 percent to Worldscale 127.29 yesterday, the lowest since March 20, according to data from the London-based Baltic Exchange. It has declined 3.7 percent in the past four days. That puts the cost of shipping a ton of oil on the route at $13.46, Bloomberg data showed.

``There's been very few activity for some time,'' Takeshi Ando, a shipbroker at Matsui & Co's tanker team, said by phone from Tokyo. ``There have been short-haul fixtures in the Indonesia area but no long-haul.''

There were nine tankers scheduled to arrive in Singapore last week and another two this week, capable of carrying a total of 1.2 million tons of cargo, according to Bloomberg data.

The cost of moving 80,000 tons of oil to Japan from Indonesia was at Worldscale 127.50 yesterday, unchanged from Aug. 15, according to Bloomberg data. That puts the cost of shipping a ton of oil on the route at $11.12.

The rate on the Indonesia to Japan route may hover at around Worldscale 120 this week, Matsui's Ando said.

``There's just too many ships available for spot business, and tanker rates should therefore remain low going forward,'' DNB Nor Markets analysts Glenn Lodden and Henrik With said in their weekly report. DNB Nor Markets is a division of DNB Nor Bank ASA, Norway's biggest bank.

Oil Products

The cost of transporting gasoline, diesel and other oil products on medium- to long-range tankers were lower yesterday. The rate of shipping 30,000 tons of oil products to Japan from Singapore declined 0.2 percent to Worldscale 222.08, according to the Baltic Exchange. It lost 8.9 percent in the past 12 days.

The cost of moving 55,000 tons of products to Japan dropped 0.6 percent to Worldscale 185.63, the lowest in five weeks.

The rate for shipping 75,000 tons of oil products fell 0.5 percent to Worldscale 153.86 yesterday, based on data on the Baltic Exchange.

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Upgrades and Downgrades

Overseas Shipholding upgraded to "outperform"
August 13, 2007
Credit Suisse
(newratings.com)

Analyst G Lewis of Credit Suisse upgrades Overseas Shipholding Group (OSG) from "neutral" to "outperform." The target price has been raised from $82 to $85.

In a research note published this morning, the analyst mentions that the company’s share price has declined by over 25% since mid-July. The average spot charter rates are at the low-to-mid $20,000 per day range for VLCC (modern), which is the highest [correction: lowest] level since 2003, and are expected to remain at about this level through August and increase to $50,000 per day in 4Q, the analyst says.


****

Top Tankers "hold"
August 14, 2007
Cantor Fitzgerald
(newratings.com)

In a research note published yesterday, analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald maintain their "hold" rating on Top Tankers Inc (TOPT). The target price is set to $8.

****
Tsakos Energy Navigation "buy"
August 14
Cantor Fitzgerald
(newratings.com)

In a research note published yesterday, analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald maintain their "buy" rating on Tsakos Energy Navigation (TNP). The target price is set to $85.

***
General Maritime "buy"
August 2nd, 2007

(Briefing.com)

Cantor Fitzgerald upgrades Hold to Buy. Target $29 to $31. Cantor Fitzgerald upgrades GMR to Buy from Hold and raises their tgt to $31 from $29 saying a higher valuation multiple is warranted, due to the co's high cash flow and dividend yield, as well as its significant time charter coverage.
[oiltankers note August 15th: stock down 11% since upgrade]


Monday, August 13, 2007

Knightsbridge Q2 Profit Falls

HAMILTON, Bermuda, Aug. 13, 2007 (PRIME NEWSWIRE) -- Knightsbridge Tankers Limited (Nasdaq:VLCCF) (the "Company") reports net income of $7.2 million and earnings per share of $0.42 for the second quarter of 2007. The average daily time charter equivalents ("TCEs") earned by the Company's five VLCCs was $36,800 compared with $43,800 in the preceding quarter. The second quarter earnings reflect a weakening of the market as well as a fall in earnings for one vessel resulting from a change in employment. Net interest expense for the quarter was $1.4 million (2006 comparable quarter: $1.3 million) and at June 30, 2007, all of the Company's debt is floating rate debt.

The net increase in cash and cash equivalents in the quarter was $3.8 million. The Company generated cash from operating activities of $15.8 million, obtained a further $33.6 million to fund new buildings, used $2.8 million to repay the Company's loan and credit facilities and distributed $10.3 million in dividend payments. As of August 6, 2007, the Company has an average cash breakeven rate for its vessels of $18,400 per vessel per day compared to $19,200 on August 7, 2006.

For the six months ended June 30, 2007 the Company reports net income of $16.9 million and earnings per share of $0.99. The average daily TCEs for the six months ended June 30, 2007 was $40,300. Net interest expense for the period was $2.8 million (2006 comparable six months: $2.6 million).

On August 13, 2007, the Board declared a dividend of $0.60 per share. The record date for the dividend is August 23, 2007, ex dividend date is August 21, 2007 and the dividend will be paid on or approximately September 7, 2007.

Sunday, August 12, 2007

Persian Gulf Tanker Rates Little Changed

Persian Gulf Tanker Rates Little Changed as Owners Fight Losses
By Alaric Nightingale
Aug. 10 (Bloomberg)


The cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia, the world's busiest market for supertankers, may be little changed as owners continue to resist leasing out their carriers at unprofitable levels.

``The shipping market is cyclical and owners are awaiting an upturn,'' Nikos Varvaropoulos, a tanker broker for Optima Shipbrokers in Athens, said today in an e-mailed note.

Falling freight rates, fueled by OPEC's crude-oil export cuts last year and growth in the world fleet of tankers, have pushed rates down to levels where owners are starting to refuse to transport the cargoes. Owners of more-modern ships may also be declining cargoes because they have to include finance costs when calculating their break-even figures, Varvaropoulos said.

GS Galtex Corp., South Korea's second-biggest oil refiner, hired the La Prudencia at a rate of 54 Worldscale points, according to a report today from Oslo-based shipbrokers PF Bassoe A/S. That's 6.8 percent above the London-based Baltic Exchange's benchmark assessment of 50.54 points for similar voyages.

La Prudencia is fitted with two hulls to cut the risk of an oil spill in an accident. The exchange assessment also takes into account single-hull tanker-rental rates, which are normally lower.

Worldscale points are a percentage of a nominal rate, or flat rate, for more than 320,000 specific routes. Flat rates, quoted in U.S. dollars a ton, are revised annually by the Worldscale Association in London to reflect changing fuel costs, port tariffs and exchange rates.

At 50.54 Worldscale points, owners of double-hulled very large crude carriers, or VLCCs, with a carrying capacity of 270,000 tons can earn about $21,105 a day on a 38-day round trip from Saudi Arabia to South Korea, based on a formula by R.S. Platou, an Oslo-based shipbroker, and Bloomberg bunker prices. Frontline Ltd., the world's biggest VLCC operator, said May 30 it needs $29,500 to break even on each of its supertankers. Frontline has to pay financing costs for its carriers.

Bookings of supertankers sailing from the Middle East to Asia account for 47 percent of global demand for the carriers, according to New York-based McQuilling Brokerage Partners LLP. U.S. and Caribbean cargoes account for 14 percent and are the world's second-busiest market for supertankers.

Friday, August 10, 2007

VLCC Availability vs. Rates Chart

VLCC Availability vs. Rates Chart 1997 - 2007



click on image for larger view
source: Citigroup report(click for PDF of full report)

Thursday, August 9, 2007

RS Platou Weekly Reports

http://www.platou.com/OsloShipbrokers/Tankers/WeeklyReport

Malaysian Pipeline

Malaysia defies doubts, history with pipeline plan
By Syed Azman
Aug 8th, 2007
(Reuters)


Rice farmers, not the oil industry, could make the most money from Malaysia's bold plan to build a $7 billion pipeline across the country.

In the sleepy coastal town of Yan, the proposed starting point for the pipeline, farmers at road-side eating stalls talk excitedly about the state-backed project, which would require the developers to buy up a swathe of rural land.

But in the corridors of the oil industry, there are still plenty of doubts about the economics of the project, which was recently approved by Malaysia's cabinet as a way of providing a short-cut for Middle East crude bound for East Asia.

"It will be very hard for them to make money out of it," U.S. industry expert Al Troner, managing director of Asia Pacific Energy Consulting, said by phone from Houston.

Malaysia and neighboring Thailand have toyed for many years with the idea of piping oil from the Andaman Sea to the South China Sea, removing the need to ship crude around the Malayan peninsula -- but the dream has never left the drawing board.

"This is one of the old projects that never dies. There's some possibilities but I don't see anything very new about the situation," Troner said.

At Yan, there is no sign of construction work yet on the unattended rice fields, waiting to be harvested in coming weeks. Nor is there activity on the nearby mangrove swamps where oil storage tanks are planned to be built.

But the developer, Trans-Peninsula Petroleum, a little-known firm owned by two former executives of state oil firm Petronas, has signed up backers for the 310 km (193-mile) pipeline and insists that, this time, the dream will become reality.

"A lot of people want to come in. We are now about 70 percent of our target to establish a security of demand," said Syed Izhar Al-Idrus, a director and shareholder of Trans-Peninsula.

He said the company was also talking to several Middle Eastern investors, but declined to give further details.

MOMENT OF TRUTH APPROACHES

The pipeline would stretch from Yan on Malaysia's northwest coast to the small fishing port of Bachok in the east.

Oil tankers currently take Middle East crude through the Malacca Strait and around both Malaysia and Singapore before sailing north to ports in Japan, China and South Korea.

The pipeline aims to cut time and costs by bypassing the crowded strait, conduit for over a quarter of the world's seaborne crude. But two years ago Thailand scrapped a similar pipeline project, partly because of rising steel costs.

The Malaysian project would involve laying three 48-inch pipelines over the difficult Titiwangsa mountain range, to transport 6 million barrels of oil per day -- more than enough for all of Japan, an enormous volume for any pipeline.

Day-storage tanks would be built in Yan and Bachok, and mooring facilities off both. The project also includes a new storage facility in Jeli in northeastern Kelantan state to hold up to 180 million barrels -- two days of global oil consumption.

Construction is scheduled for eight years from 2008.

But some analysts say it remains cheaper and potentially quicker to sail around Singapore than to unload a super-tanker at Yan, pipe the crude to Bachok and put it on another tanker.

OSK Research cited the cost to ship oil from the Gulf to the Far East using a very large crude carrier at $2.28 per barrel, and using the pipeline at $2.92.

DEFYING THE NAY-SAYERS

Experts say the investment is large and the return distant.

"The concern would be the huge up-front investment that you would have to put in and what could well be a very long pay-back period," said Chris Eng, an analyst at OSK Investment Bank.

But Syed Izhar disagreed, saying pay-back period for the project, which will derive revenues from oil throughput and storage charges, was expected to be over seven years.

"For Sumed, they've done it in five years," he said, referring to Suez-Mediterranean pipeline, an alternative to the Suez canal. "They have been in existence for the past 30 years, and for the past 26 years they have been making money."

Trans-Peninsula aims to divert a third of oil passing through the Malacca Strait, which analysts think is overly optimistic.

But no one doubts the rice farmers will make a return.

"I think there will be no objection if the price is right," said 41-year-old Md Yusof Yahya, one of hundreds of rice farmers whose land will need to be bought by the developers.

"People here are quite excited, some are planning to look for another plot of land while some just want to invest the money and stop farming," added Yusof, wearing t-shirt and jeans and sipping coffee at a roadside cafe at Yan.

Wednesday, August 8, 2007

Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.07.07

Imarex
TD3: WS56 (0) - VLCC - Ras Tanura (Saudi Arabia) to Chiba (Japan), 260,000mt
TC2: WS183 (+1) - MR2 - Rotterdam to New York (USAC)

SHX: 322.96 (+8.92/+2.84%) - PHLX Marine Shipping Index

TankerRates.com (08.03 - 00:30 CET) - NO UPDATE
MEG-East - - - - - - - VLCC - - - - 260k - - - - - - 52
WAF-USAC - - - - - - Suezmax - -130k - - - - - - 91
NSEA-UKC - - - - - - - Aframax - - 80k - - - - - - 80
Singapore-Japan - - - MR - - - - - 30k - - - - - - 230


Baltic Dirty Tanker Index: 904 (-2.59%)


Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.07.07
Imarex, PHLX, SHX, WS, Worldscale, Baltic Dirty Tanker Index


Cantor Fitzgerald maintains Buy on Tsakos (TNP)

Tsakos Energy Navigation "buy," target price raised
August 06, 2007
(newratings.com)


Analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald maintain their "buy" rating on Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (ticker: TNP), while reducing their estimates for the company. The target price has been raised from $79 to $85.

In a research note published on August 3, the analysts mention that the company has posted its 2Q07 operating EPS ahead of the estimates and the consensus mainly on account of higher-than-anticipated charter rates. Tsakos Energy Navigation’s substantial charter coverage, widespread newbuilding programme and well-balanced mix of crude and product carriers are likely to help the company to withstand any volatility in rates in the near term, the analysts say. The EPS estimate for 2007 has been reduced from $7.30 to $7.21 to reflect the current spot rate scenario.

Baltic Dirty Tanker Index

The final chart shows the index down approximately 10% over the month of July. At the same time, initial figures show OPEC production increased by 350,000 barrels per day in July. Production in the Persian Gulf (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Iran, and Qatar) increased by 200,000 bpd from June to July.

Baltic Dirty Tanker Index - 5 year



Baltic Dirty Tanker Index - 3 year




Baltic Dirty Tanker Index - 1 year





Baltic Dirty Tanker Index - 3 month






Baltic Dirty Tanker Index - 1 month





Baltic Dirty Tanker Index, BDTI

Tuesday, August 7, 2007

Asian Aframax Tanker Rates

Asian Aframax Tanker Rates May Extend Drop on Lack of Cargoes
By Katherine Espina
Aug. 7 (Bloomberg)


The rate for shipping oil on Asian routes on tankers that can carry 80,000 metric tons fell a third day and may extend its decline because of a lack of cargoes.

The rate for aframax tankers on the Kuwait-to-Singapore route dropped 2.3 percent to Worldscale 130.77 yesterday, the lowest in more than two weeks, according to data from the London-based Baltic Exchange. That puts the cost of shipping a ton of oil on the route at $13.96, Bloomberg data showed.

``The market's very quiet as I don't see many fixtures,'' Katsunori Nishikawa, general manager of the chartering team at the shipbroking division of Matsui & Co. in Tokyo, said by phone today. There aren't ``any long-haul voyages like from Indonesia to Korea or Japan, just short trades.''

Six aframax tankers, which can carry 596,373 tons of fuel, are expected to arrive in Singapore in the next two weeks, compared with four that were capable of carrying 431,749 tons of cargo last week, according to Bloomberg data.

Bookings for August haven't been enough to drive charter rates higher for aframax tankers on east of Suez routes, according to shipbrokers including London-based Galbraith's Ltd. The rate on the Kuwait-to-Singapore route for an aframax tanker averaged Worldscale 136.58 in July, 6.9 percent below this year's average.

``Dwindling aframax interest caused rates to ease to Worldscale 130,'' for voyages to the East, London-based E.A. Gibson Shipbrokers Ltd. said in its weekly report.

The cost of moving 80,000 tons of oil to Japan from Indonesia was at Worldscale
132.5 yesterday, unchanged from Aug. 1, according to Bloomberg data. That puts
the cost of shipping a ton of oil on the route at $11.55.

``The Indonesia/East market was a little less active but the trend there remains
steady at Worldscale 130,'' Galbraith's said in its weekly report.

Aframax vessels, which can carry 600,000 barrels of crude oil, are predominantly deployed on short-haul routes or intra- regional trade.

The cost of transporting gasoline, diesel and other oil products on medium- to long-range tankers fell yesterday. The rate of shipping 30,000 tons of oil products to Japan from Singapore declined 0.7 percent to Worldscale 230.42, according to the Baltic Exchange. The cost of moving 55,000 tons of products to Japan dropped 0.5 percent to Worldscale 195.58.

Shipping 75,000 tons of oil products fell 0.6 percent to Worldscale 147.29 yesterday, the first decline in more than two weeks, based on data on the Baltic
Exchange.

Monday, August 6, 2007

Caribbean Tanker Rates Decline

Caribbean Tanker Rates Decline as Availability Exceeds Demand
By Todd Zeranski
Aug. 6 (Bloomberg)


Rates to transport oil from the Caribbean basin fell for a third day as the number of ships available for transport exceeds demand.

Rates have declined about 37 percent since July 23, falling for 10 of the last 11 business days.

Shipbrokers including New York-based Poten & Partners and Houston-based Lone Star, R.S. Platou listed an average rate of Worldscale, or WS, 105 and 110, respectively, to contract an Aframax tanker, which can carry about 600,000 barrels of oil. That's an average decline of about 11.3 percent from August 3.

London-based Galbraith's didn't list a rate as of 10:45 a.m. New York time today.

With other tanker markets also declining, shipowners have little option but to wait in the area.

The market is characterized by an ``abundance of tonnage available to charterers,'' Galbraith said in an August 3 note. Tanker owners are seeing ``no refuge in the Mediterranean or North Sea.''

Three Aframax tankers, the most common vessels used to transport oil in the region, were contracted today.

One each was contracted to transport oil to the U.S. Gulf Coast from the east coast of Mexico by Royal Dutch Shell Plc and Valero Energy Corp., respectively, according to Lone Star's daily listing.

Three Tankers Contracted

Petroleo Brasileiro SA contracted an Aframax to move oil between St. Lucia and the U.S. Gulf Coast, the broker said.

A rate of WS 105 is equal to about $8,017 a day after expenses such as fuel and port fees, according to Poten & Partners.

General Maritime Corp., the second-largest U.S. tanker owner behind Overseas Shipholding Group Inc., has a break-even rate of about $12,000 per day. The New York-based company operates many of its vessels in the Caribbean.

Worldscale points are a percentage of a nominal rate, or flat rate, for a specific route. Flat rates, quoted in U.S. dollars a ton, are revised annually by the Worldscale Association in London to reflect changing fuel costs, port tariffs and exchange rates.

The Caribbean is the world's third-largest Aframax market after the Mediterranean and Southeast Asia.

Saturday, August 4, 2007

Top Tanker (TOPT) Reports Q2 Results

ATHENS, Greece, Aug. 3 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- TOP Tankers Inc
(Nasdaq: TOPT) today announced its operating results for the second quarter
and first half of 2007.

For the three months ended June 30, 2007, the Company reported net
income of $5,789,000, or $0.18 per share, compared with net loss of
$6,838,000, or $0.24 per share, for the second quarter of 2006. The
weighted average numbers of basic shares used in the computations were
32,477,736 and 29,586,783 for the second quarter of 2007 and 2006,
respectively. The results for the second quarter of 2007 and 2006 include
net revenues of $910,000, or $0.03 per share and $103,000, or $0.00 per
share, respectively, of special items(1) that affected the Company's net
income for the second quarter of 2007 and 2006 that are typically excluded
by securities analysts in their published estimates of the Company's
financial results, which are described in Appendix A of this release. For
the three months ended June 30, 2007, operating income was $7,164,000,
compared with operating loss of $1,640,000 for the second quarter of 2006.
Adjusted EBITDA(1) for the second quarter of 2007 was $16,817,000, compared
with $8,459,000 for the second quarter of 2006. Voyage revenues for the
second quarter of 2007 were $75,289,000, compared to $69,857,000 recorded
in the second quarter of 2006.

For the six months ended June 30, 2007, the Company reported net income
of $6,736,000, or $0.21 per share, compared with net income of $23,323,000,
or $0.78 per share, for the first half of 2006. The weighted average
numbers of basic shares used in the computations were 32,404,838 and
28,847,107 for the first half of 2007 and 2006, respectively. The results
for the first half of 2007 include net revenues of $1,890,000, or $0.06 per
share and the results of the respective period of 2006 include net charges
of $2,569,000, or $0.09 per share, of special items that affected the
Company's net income for the first half of 2007 and 2006 that are typically
excluded by securities analysts in their published estimates of the
Company's financial results, which are described in Appendix A of this
release. For the six months ended June 30, 2007, operating income was
$8,560,000, compared with $36,330,000 for the first half of 2006. Adjusted
EBITDA for the first half of 2007 was $27,604,000, compared with
$64,066,000 for the same period last year. Voyage revenues for the six
month period ended June 30, 2007 were $149,277,000, compared to
$171,603,000 recorded in the first half of 2006.

Evangelos J. Pistiolis, President and Chief Executive Officer of TOP
Tankers Inc, commented, "During the second quarter of 2007, we generated a
significant increase in our results, as compared to the second quarter of
2006. This increase was mainly driven by:

-- The improved market conditions, especially in the Suezmax sector. The
average Suezmax daily spot rate on a TCE basis was $42,106 in the
second quarter of 2007, as compared to $40,314 in the second quarter of
2006. In addition, our time charter agreements helped the overall
Suezmax daily TCE rate to increase to $39,840 in the second quarter of
2007 as compared to $37,031 in the second quarter of 2006.

-- The increased utilization of our fleet. After the extensive upgrading
works that took place in 2006, our overall fleet utilization increased
to 91.8% in the second quarter of 2007 as compared to 86.4% in the
second quarter of 2006. Especially in the Suezmax sector, the
utilization rate increased to 90.6% in the second quarter of 2007 as
compared to 75.4% in the second quarter of 2006.

-- The re-acquisition of 4 Suezmax vessels. While we will see the first
full quarter effect from the re-acquisition of these vessels in the 3rd
quarter of the year, we expect the re-acquisition to contribute
approximately $0.02 per share in this quarter and approximately $0.05
per quarter thereafter.

In addition, we issued a total of 4.3 million shares at an average net
price of $6.84 per share, including 2.1 million shares to Mr. George
Economou. We believe that the participation of such a prominent shipping
investor constitutes a vote of confidence in our Company and our
management.

Recently, we announced that we are entering the dry bulk sector, which
we believe is a market with very strong fundamentals. The vessels that we
have agreed to acquire are all fixed at strong rates and are expected to
generate significant cash flows and returns on our investment.

Consistent to our commitment to provide high quality vessel management
services, we have undertaken through our wholly-owned vessel management
subsidiary, TOP Tanker Management Inc., the technical management of eleven
vessels of our fleet and three more are scheduled to be added later this
year. TOP Tanker Management Inc. has built a management team with
significant experience in operating large and diversified fleets of tankers
and drybulk carriers and has expertise in all aspects of commercial,
technical, management and financial areas of our business.

We have committed three vessels to carry the Greek flag, which is one
of the highest esteemed registries in the shipping industry. One tanker,
the M/T Stormless has already completed its re-flagging in July and two
more will follow in the near future.

Additionally, we have initiated a process to employ well-trained Greek
officers for our fleet. So far we have hired 24 skilled seafarers for
eleven of our vessels. We expect these officers to contribute significantly
to the quality and efficient operations of our vessels.

We believe that the above will increase the quality level of our
management services and will reduce costs associated to third-party
managers.

Finally, we will continue to monitor both markets for such accretive
acquisitions with significant revenues and returns to our shareholders."

***

Fleet Report:

As of June 30, 2007, the Company's fleet size was 23 vessels, or 2.3
million dwt (including 14 vessels sold and leased back for a period of 5 to
7 years) as compared to 27 vessels, or 2.6 million dwt on June 30, 2006.

In April 2007, the Company sold the Suezmax tanker M/T Errorless for
$52.5 million, resulting in a book gain of $2.0 million. The vessel was
delivered to its new owners on April 30, 2007.

In April 2007, the owner and lessor of M/T Invincible sold the vessel
to a third party. The Company and the lessor mutually agreed to terminate
the bareboat charter. The termination of the bareboat charter became
effective upon the vessel's delivery to her new owners, in July 2007.

In May 2007, the Company agreed to re-acquire four Suezmax tankers that
it sold in 2006 in a sale and lease-back transaction, and to terminate the
respective bareboat charters. The four Suezmax tankers were the M/T
Limitless (DWT 136,055 built 1993), M/T Endless (DWT 135,915 built 1992),
M/T Noiseless (DWT 149,554 built 1992) and the M/T Stainless (DWT 149,599
built 1992). The re-acquisition price was $208.0 million and was financed
by bank debt, by the early redemption of the seller's credit associated
with the 2006 sales and lease-back transactions and by existing cash
balances. The vessels were delivered in May 2007.

In July 2007, the Company entered into agreements to acquire three
drybulk vessels from unrelated third parties as follows: (i) a 2002 built
super handymax, or supramax, vessel of 51,200 dwt, built in China, which
will be chartered back to the sellers for a period of 18 months at a daily
net rate of $25,650 on a bareboat basis; (ii) a 1995 built panamax vessel
of 73,506 dwt, built in South Korea, which will be time-chartered for a
period of 24-26 months at a daily net rate of $29,700; and (iii) a 2000
built handymax vessel of 45,526 dwt, built in Philippines, which will be
time-chartered for a period of 14-16 months at a daily net rate of $22,000.
These vessels are scheduled to be delivered to the Company between
September 2007 and January 2008.

In July 2007, the owner and lessor of M/T Restless and M/T Victorious
agreed to sell the vessels to a third party. The Company and the lessor
mutually agreed to terminate the bareboat charters for these vessels. The
termination of the bareboat charters will become effective upon the
vessels' delivery to their new owners, expected to take place late August
2007.

Fleet Deployment:

During the second quarter of 2007, the Company had approximately 67% of
the fleet's operating days on long-term employment contracts. As of June
30, 2007, sixteen of the Company's 23 tankers were on time charter
contracts with an average term of over three years with all but four of the
time charters including profit sharing agreements.

In May 2007, the Company announced a new time charter contract with a
major South American oil company for its Suezmax M/T Flawless. The vessel
earns $44,500 net per day for one year and charterers have the option to
extend the contract for an additional one year.

The Company has secured approximately 59% of the estimated operating
days for 2007 under time charter contracts. At the same time, the seven
Suezmaxes that will operate in the spot market, together with the
profit-sharing component of the time charter contracts, expose
approximately 65% of the Company's estimated operating days for 2007 to
spot rates, which may be potentially higher.

Suezmax Fleet:

During the second quarter of 2007, seven of the Company's Suezmax
tankers operated in the spot market, earning on average $42,106 per vessel
per day on a time charter equivalent (TCE) basis.

During the second quarter of 2007, five of the Company's Suezmax
tankers operated under time charter contracts, earning on average $35,831
per vessel per day on a time charter equivalent (TCE) basis.

As of the date of this release, the Company's Suezmax fleet for the
third quarter of 2007 has been fixed for employment as follows:

Spot: 53% of operating days at average daily TCE of $30,000 Total (Spot
and time charter, including profit sharing): 69% of operating days at
average daily TCE of $34,000.

Handymax Fleet:
All of the Company's Handymax tankers operate under long term
employment agreements that provide for a base rate and additional profit
sharing.

During the second quarter of 2007, including the profit sharing
allocated to the Company, the Handymax fleet earned on average $21,554 per
vessel per day on a time charter equivalent (TCE) basis.

As of the date of this release, the Company's Handymax fleet for the
third quarter of 2007 has been fixed for 44% of its operating days at
average daily TCE of $20,000.

***

Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.03.07

Imarex
TD3: WS57 ( -1 ) - VLCC - Ras Tanura (Saudi Arabia) to Chiba (Japan), 260,000mt
TC2: WS189 ( -3 ) - MR2 - Rotterdam to New York (USAC)

SHX: 323.57 (-9.80/-2.94%) - PHLX Marine Shipping Index
previous week close: 329.63 (-6.06/-1.83%)

TankerRates.com (08.03 - 00:30 CET)
MEG-East - - - - - - - VLCC - - - - 260k - - - - - - 52 (-1)
WAF-USAC - - - - - - Suezmax - -130k - - - - - - 91 (-8)
NSEA-UKC - - - - - - - Aframax - - 80k - - - - - - 80 (0)
Singapore-Japan - - - MR - - - - - 30k - - - - - - 230 (-4)


Baltic Dirty Tanker Index: 949 (-1.56%)


Imarex/SHX Closing Prices 08.03.07
Imarex, PHLX, SHX, WS, Worldscale






Tsakos (TNP) Q2 Income rises 33%

Net revenues increases by 33.6% increase over same quarter last year
Company reports 55th consecutive profitable quarter

SECOND QUARTER 2007 HIGHLIGHTS - Revenues, net of $107.22 million versus
$80.26 million in Q2 2006, a 33.6% increase - Net income of $37.52 million
versus $33.03 million in Q2 2006, a 13.6% increase - EPS, diluted of $1.96
per share versus $1.73 in Q2 2006 - TCE (Time charter equivalent) of
$30,021 per day per ship as compared to $28,557 in Q2 2006 - Delivery and
charter of four newbuildings, two ice-class product tankers and two crude
oil transporters (one ice-class suezmax and one DNA design aframax) -
Semi-annual dividend of $1.50 per share paid in April 2007 (bringing the
total for fiscal 2006 to $2.75)

ATHENS, Greece, Aug. 3 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Tsakos Energy
Navigation Limited (TEN) (NYSE: TNP) reported today results (unaudited) for
the second quarter and first half of 2007.

SECOND QUARTER RESULTS

Revenues, net of voyage expenses and commissions, were $107.22 million
in the second quarter of 2007 up from $80.26 million
in the 2006 period.
TEN deployed on average 42.3 vessels versus 33.9 vessels in the year
earlier quarter. Fleet utilization was 97.6% as compared with 96.8% in the
second quarter of 2006. TCE per day, per ship rose to $30,021 from $28,557.
Vessel operating costs were $7,266 per ship, per day, up from $6,659
primarily due to higher lubricant prices, crew costs and the impact of
further dollar weakness
. In addition, the integration of the LNG carrier
Neo Energy contributed to this increase due to the higher expenses required
to operate such a high specification vessel.

Depreciation and dry-docking amortization costs rose to $21.65 million
from $16.14 million with the fleet at 44 vessels at June 30, 2007 as
compared with 37 vessels a year earlier. Management fees mainly reflected
the increased number of ships while overheads rose as a result of
professional fees and expenses related to a staff compensation program.

Interest and finance costs net of interest income rose sharply to
$12.54 million from $5.61 million reflecting additional borrowings related
to the expansion of the fleet. However, the impact was muted by the
benefits of interest rate swaps and capitalized interest.

Net income in the 2007 period was $37.52 million versus $33.03 million
in the second quarter of 2006. Diluted earnings per share were $1.96 versus
$1.73 in the 2006 quarter. There were no vessel sales this quarter.


On July 28, 2007 the 1991-built Aframax tanker Vergina II, recently
converted to double hull was delivered and time-chartered for two years to
a major South American oil concern. The gross revenue from this charter is
expected to reach $23 million. There are no profit sharing arrangements
from this charter.

FLEET STRATEGY

TEN's strategy of growing the fleet organically has continued in the
latest quarter with four vessels entering the fleet to join the four
delivered in the first quarter of this year. With nine more vessels still
to join the fleet, including three this year
, TEN's further fleet
modernization and renewal remains on track. The deliveries this quarter
were one 1A ice-class suezmax (Antarctic), one DNA design aframax (Sakura
Princess) and one 1A and one 1B ice-class handysize product tankers
(Aegeas, Byzantion). The Sakura Princess, the Aegeas and the Byzantion all
entered long term time charters with profit sharing arrangements while the
Antarctic was strategically placed to operate in the spot market.

These newbuilding introductions, supported by various sale and purchase
activities that occurred since this quarter last year, have elevated TEN's
average fleet from 33.9 to 42.3 vessels. In terms of deadweight, TEN
experienced a 19.4% increase
, reaching 4.8 million, while it achieved a
further reduction in the average age of its fleet from 6.0 years to 5.3
years, an 11.7% reduction.

Along with expanding the fleet through its newbuilding program, TEN
remains committed to exploring other opportunities that may become
available in the sectors it operates, which the Company expects will not
jeopardize the fleet's structure or age profile, nor place an excessive
burden on the Company's financial position. In addition, and in line with
previous practice, TEN will continue to explore opportunities in the
greater sales and purchase market and will occasionally entertain offers
for the timely disposal of certain tonnage. As in the past, TEN has used
the sales and purchase market to strategically profile its fleet in order
to safeguard its attractiveness to the chartering community. This exercise
has enabled TEN to not only renew the fleet in terms of type, size and age
but to also release cash for further reinvestment.

"Critical mass, balanced employment and caliber of charterer are
important components in strategy formulation," stated Mr. Nikolas P.
Tsakos, President & CEO of TEN. "We believe the quality and size of our
fleet and our flexible chartering strategy in tandem with new vessel
deliveries and strategic vessel disposals, will continue to fuel our drive
for greater returns and enhanced shareholder value," Mr. Tsakos concluded.

TANKER INDUSTRY

The strong global economic expansion is continuing. On July 25, 2007,
the IMF (International Monetary Fund) revised its forecast of global
economic growth from 4.9% to 5.2% for both 2007 and 2008. This revision was
due to the continuing strength of emerging markets and developing
countries. GDP growth for China was revised to 11.2%, India to 9.0% and
Russia to 7.0%. Among the developed economies, GDP growth in the USA is
expected at 2.0% (0.2% lower than earlier projections) but forecast to grow
at 2.8% in 2008. Growth in the Euro-zone and Japan has been revised upward
by 0.3% and is expected to remain relatively strong at 2.6% for 2008.
Inflation remains, in general, well contained although some emerging
markets and developing economies are facing inflation pressures, especially
from rising prices in energy and food. Oil demand remains strong despite
oil prices creeping back to record highs. The IEA (International Energy
Agency) in its July report marginally revised downwards (by 0.10/mbpd) the
2007 global oil demand to 86.0/mbpd, due to minor baseline revisions to
OECD figures, which still represents a 1.8% growth in oil demand over the
previous year's figure of 84.5/mbpd. In 2008, world oil demand is expected
to rise by a robust 2.5% to 88.2/mbpd with the OECD contributing roughly a
third (0.8/mbpd) of this demand growth. The growth in non-OECD demand is
expected to derive primarily from China and the Middle East.

Year to date the freight rate environment for both crude and product
tankers is in line with 2006 levels despite the strong influx of
newbuilding tankers, which is above historical levels, and expected to
remain so until 2010. About 25% of the world tanker fleet is still of
single hull design with limited trading prospects as the 2010 IMO phase-out
deadline approaches. Conversion of these single hull tankers to FPSOs and
FSOs and dry bulk carriers could further restrict shipyard capacity for
building new tankers until 2011. Steel recycling could be another option
due to historically high scrap prices (currently over $500 per lightweight
ton). Forward fixing at healthy rates of crude and product tankers by oil
majors and commodity traders remains strong while the general landscape of
the energy and the tanker markets continues to be influenced by the same
variables that are responsible for the volatile nature of the markets.
These are: global refinery constraints and glitches, ton/mile demand
(expansion of trading routes), level of OECD stocks, arbitrage trade
opportunities, geopolitical and weather related risks and internationally
imposed regulations.

The set of challenges that owners and operators face include capital
commitments to fund newbuilding and second-hand vessels, potentially higher
interest rates and insurance premiums, personnel expenses, increases in
lubricant and bunker prices, maintenance needs and a weakening dollar.
These have not changed significantly nor are expected to change materially
in the third and fourth quarter of this year. Despite these challenges, TEN
expects 2007 to be another healthy year with high fleet utilization rates,
a freight market well above mid-cycle levels, and capital returns around
the levels of 2006.

OUTLOOK FOR TEN

With worldwide demand for crude and refined petroleum products on the
rise, chartering and other investment opportunities will abound. TEN's
fleet and overall condition of its balance sheet provide a solid base for
further growth while its versatile and balanced chartering strategy affords
the necessary buffer to counteract possible market imbalances.

In the second quarter, the Company was successful in fixing five
vessels, including its first LNG carrier, four with profit sharing
agreements, four charters stretching from 12-months to three years,
guaranteeing at least $81 million in gross revenues over that period. This
earnings visibility which is further enhanced when one considers the whole
time-chartered fleet under consideration, provides additional comfort for
the future. In particular, for the remaining half of the year 87% has been
fixed securing at least $160 million in gross revenues while for 2008 67%
of the available days have been fixed guaranteeing at least $226 million
for that year
.

"Our results this quarter, placed in the context of the meandering
markets recently, is a prime indication that our operating model works,"
Mr. Tsakos continued. "It is a model designed for the long run and expected
to further solidify our foundations for further growth, both in terms of
size and returns. "With the market expected to remain healthy for the
foreseeable future, and with the continuous stream of newbuildings we
expect to join our fleet, in conjunction with our active involvement in the
sales and purchase markets, TEN's position to efficiently service its
clients and actively participate in world maritime trades remains strong."